[M4IF Discuss] What is the REAL advantage?

[Yuval Fisher]

> Let's put it this way: I don't think $1 million is going to keep Microsoft,
> Real and Apple from any market that is worth being in. So if they decide not
> to pay the money, this will be a good indication about the nature of the
> opportunity for all of us. 

This seems to suggest that these 3 have crystal balls that tell them
what markets will emerge and which won't. That's simply silly. You can
review initiatives by all three and see successes and failures. The fact
is that no one has consistantly predicted adoption or rejection of
technology.  
The adoption of MPEG-4 *may* happen if it is coddled and promoted in a
way that compensates for the dominance of other technologies. MPEG-4
will not be adopted if it is hampered by fees just as it emerges. (The 1
year grace period is insufficient time for a variety of reasons....)