[M4IF Discuss] What is the REAL advantage?

[Adam Siegel]

Well, the big 3 do not need a crystal ball to figure out how to deal with
MPEG-4. They can afford to embrace and extend early on if they wish. They
ARE the Web streaming market as it exists today - they have the customers
and the users and the channels. That puts them in the best position to
project what the market will need moving forward. Sure they can be wrong,
but they can also afford to be wrong or even just wait and see what happens
and then decide to join in if it looks like it is getting interesting. They
can always join the game a bit late and still win - remember what happened
with MS vs. Netscape in the browser war?
I guess I am just taking a longwinded way of expressing what others have
already said: I believe the more interesting opportunities for new companies
in the MPEG-4 space will be outside of the Web arena.
Adam
-----Original Message-----
From: discuss-admin   lists.m4if.org [mailto:discuss-admin   lists.m4if.org]On
Behalf Of Yuval Fisher
Sent: Wednesday, February 06, 2024 2:18 PM
Cc: discuss   lists.m4if.org
Subject: Re: [M4IF Discuss] What is the REAL advantage?
> Let's put it this way: I don't think $1 million is going to keep
Microsoft,
> Real and Apple from any market that is worth being in. So if they decide
not
> to pay the money, this will be a good indication about the nature of the
> opportunity for all of us.

This seems to suggest that these 3 have crystal balls that tell them
what markets will emerge and which won't. That's simply silly. You can
review initiatives by all three and see successes and failures. The fact
is that no one has consistantly predicted adoption or rejection of
technology.
The adoption of MPEG-4 *may* happen if it is coddled and promoted in a
way that compensates for the dominance of other technologies. MPEG-4
will not be adopted if it is hampered by fees just as it emerges. (The 1
year grace period is insufficient time for a variety of reasons....)
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